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Global Sovereign Debt Stress

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Global Economy & Central Banks Special Report (Sept 27, 2026)

The $365 Trillion Debt Trap: Why Bond Vigilantes are Returning to Discipline Western Treasuries

Global debt has climbed beyond $365 trillion, or more than 330% of world GDP, and the old assumption that sovereign borrowing can expand indefinitely at low cost is breaking down. In the US and Europe, higher term premiums, sticky inflation, and heavy refinancing calendars are forcing treasuries to pay up just as central banks try to normalize policy and shrink balance sheets. The result is a renewed form of market discipline: bond vigilantes are no longer a metaphor from the 1990s but a pricing force shaping auction demand, fiscal choices, and rate-path expectations. Washington and European capitals now face a narrowing corridor between supporting growth and preserving market confidence, with every basis point in long-end yields compounding the debt burden.

By RDU Special Investigations Desk7 min read
Banking, Fintech & Insurance7h ago

RBI Maps Rs 5.1 Trillion Borrowing Roadmap for H2 FY27, Signals Steady Supply Across the Yield Curve

The Reserve Bank of India has released the indicative issuance calendar for Government of India dated securities for the second half of FY 2026-27, laying out a predictable borrowing schedule from October 2026 through March 2027. The plan covers a broad mix of maturities, including sovereign green bonds, and is designed to give investors greater visibility, support market planning and reinforce stability in the government securities market.

5 min readRead โ†’
Banking, Fintech & Insurance8h ago

India's 6.94% GS 2036 Auction Draws Strong Demand, Sees Partial Allotment as Cut-Off Settles at Rs 98.58

India's latest government securities auction for the 6.94% GS 2036 bond drew robust investor interest, with bids far exceeding the notified amount and the issue ultimately seeing partial allotment in the competitive segment. The Reserve Bank of India accepted the full notified underwriting support from primary dealers, while recording no devolvement, underscoring steady market appetite for long-dated sovereign paper.

4 min readRead โ†’
India & World Affairs11h ago

India Moves to Shield Tax Powers as New Investment Treaty Talks Advance

India is preparing to keep taxation outside the scope of its bilateral investment treaty framework, underscoring New Delhi's determination to preserve sovereign control over tax policy even as it seeks to attract foreign capital. A finance ministry note has been circulated for Cabinet consideration while treaty negotiations with four to five countries are under way, an official said.

5 min readRead โ†’
Macro Economy & Fiscal Policy27m ago

India trims FY27 market borrowing to Rs 15.99 lakh crore, signals longer debt profile to ease rollover risk

The Centre has lowered its gross market borrowing for FY27 to Rs 15.99 lakh crore, while keeping net borrowing at budgeted levels and leaning more heavily on longer-dated securities to manage debt costs and rollover risk. The finance ministry's second-half borrowing calendar also includes Rs 15,000 crore of sovereign green bonds, underscoring the government's effort to preserve fiscal credibility even as bond yields climb.

4 min readRead โ†’
Startups & Venture Capital5h ago

IIT-Madras Deep-Tech Fund Closes First Rs 450 Crore, Backing Frontier Startups in Defence, Space and AI

The IIT Madras-led Unicorn Frontier Fund has reached a Rs 450 crore first close, marking a major early milestone for its Rs 1,000 crore deep-tech investment vehicle. Backed by alumni, family offices, institutions, corporates and banks, the fund has already deployed capital into four startups working on rocket engines, air-quality technology, quantum instrumentation and energy storage.

5 min readRead โ†’
Startups & Venture Capital6h ago

Indian Startup Funding Rebounds to $382 Million as Debt-Led Mega Deals Mask Weak Equity Appetite

Venture capital inflows into Indian startups surged to $382 million across 21 deals in the week of Sept. 19-25, rebounding sharply from $99 million the previous week. But the headline number was inflated by debt-heavy financing, led by DMI Finance's $152 million raise, while true equity funding remained subdued even as investors spread bets across EV, finance and AI startups.

5 min readRead โ†’
Macro Economy & Fiscal PolicySpecial Report (Sept 27, 2026)

The Great Indian Capex Transition: How Roads, Rail, and Defense are Driving Industrial Multipliers

Indiaโ€™s โ‚น11.11 lakh crore infrastructure capex is no longer just a fiscal stimulus; it is becoming a structural industrial policy. The state is using highways, rail freight modernization, and defense indigenization to compress logistics costs, deepen domestic supply chains, and seed manufacturing clusters in Tier-2 and Tier-3 corridors. The wager is that public capex can crowd in private investment by reducing transport friction, improving asset utilization, and creating demand certainty for steel, cement, electronics, and precision engineering. But the transition carries trade-offs. Debt sustainability remains manageable only if growth and tax buoyancy stay firm, while employment gains are uneven because capital-intensive projects generate fewer direct jobs than labor-intensive welfare spending. The real test is whether NHAI corridors, Vande Bharat-linked logistics, and DRDO-HAL procurement can create second-order industrial ecosystems rather than isolated infrastructure assets. Early evidence suggests a stronger multiplier than in the past, but not yet a guaranteed manufacturing renaissance.

7 min readRead โ†’
Global Economy & Central Banks8h ago

10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Level Since 2007 as Bond Supply, Inflation Fears and Fed Bets Collide

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 5.23% on Friday, its highest level in nearly two decades, as investors recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve policy and digested a wave of heavy debt issuance. While stubborn inflation and rising rate-hike odds have helped drive the move, analysts say the bigger force may be a powerful new supply of bonds from both the U.S. government and companies funding the artificial intelligence boom.

5 min readRead โ†’

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