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Bernstein

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Last Updated: Just Now
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Banking, Fintech & Insurance 09 Oct 2026, 07:28 AM IST

India’s UPI Fee Shift Could Cement PhonePe, Google Pay Dominance

India’s new merchant fee regime for UPI transactions above Rs 2,000 is likely to deepen the advantage of the country’s largest payment apps, with Bernstein estimating that PhonePe and Google Pay could together generate about $900 million annually by March 2028. The policy may also accelerate expansion into rural markets and push smaller rivals toward higher-value transactions, reinforcing scale as the decisive competitive edge in digital payments.

By RDU Global Wire5 min read
Banking, Fintech & Insurance08 Oct 2026, 09:02 AM IST

India’s UPI Fee Shift Could Cement PhonePe and Google Pay’s Lead

India’s new merchant fee regime for UPI transactions above Rs 2,000 is poised to deepen the dominance of PhonePe and Google Pay, according to Bernstein estimates. By March 2028, the two market leaders could together generate about $900 million in annual revenue from the change, reinforcing their scale advantage while pressuring smaller rivals to chase higher-value payments and rural expansion.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & Insurance06 Oct 2026, 01:30 AM IST

Bernstein Sees Rs 27,000 Crore Revenue Pool From UPI MDR by FY28

A 40-basis-point merchant discount rate on UPI transactions could generate a revenue pool of about Rs 27,000 crore by FY28, according to Bernstein. The brokerage said issuing banks and UPI apps would capture the largest shares, while merchant-side payment apps and acquiring banks would also benefit as policymakers weigh ways to sustain UPI’s rapid expansion without materially burdening small transactions.

6 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & Insurance05 Oct 2026, 04:06 PM IST

Bernstein Sees Rs 27,000 Crore Revenue Pool From UPI MDR by FY28

A 40-basis-point merchant discount rate on UPI transactions could generate a revenue pool of about Rs 27,000 crore by FY28, according to Bernstein. The brokerage said issuing banks and UPI apps would capture the largest shares, while merchant-side payment apps and acquiring banks would also benefit, even as the levy remains far below card fees and excludes many smaller transactions.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & Insurance05 Oct 2026, 11:09 AM IST

India’s UPI Fee Shift May Cement PhonePe and Google Pay’s Lead

India’s new merchant fee regime for high-value UPI transactions could hand the country’s largest payment apps a powerful revenue tailwind while reinforcing their market dominance. Bernstein estimates PhonePe and Google Pay could together earn about $900 million annually by March 2028, a shift that may widen the gap between incumbents and smaller rivals.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & Insurance05 Oct 2026, 10:14 AM IST

UPI MDR Could Build Rs 27,000 Crore Revenue Pool by FY28: Bernstein

A 40-basis-point merchant discount rate on UPI transactions could generate a revenue pool of about Rs 27,000 crore by FY28, according to Bernstein, potentially reshaping the economics of India’s digital payments stack. The brokerage said issuing banks, UPI apps, merchant-side payment platforms and acquiring banks would capture the largest shares, while the levy would remain well below card fees and exclude many smaller transactions.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & Insurance04 Oct 2026, 05:46 PM IST

HDFC Bank Names ICICI Veteran Anup Bagchi as Managing Director and CEO

HDFC Bank has appointed Anup Bagchi, a long-serving ICICI Bank executive with deep experience across banking, insurance and financial services, as its new Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer. His appointment takes effect on October 27, succeeding Sashidhar Jagdishan, whose term ends a day earlier, after receiving Reserve Bank of India approval.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & Insurance04 Oct 2026, 10:28 AM IST

Bernstein Sees Rs 27,000 Crore Revenue Pool From UPI MDR by FY28

A 40-basis-point merchant discount rate on UPI transactions could generate a revenue pool of about Rs 27,000 crore by FY28, according to Bernstein, as India weighs how to sustain the economics of its fast-growing digital payments rail. The brokerage said issuing banks, UPI apps, merchant-side payment apps and acquiring banks would share the proceeds, while smaller transactions would remain exempt or lightly affected.

5 min readRead →
India Entertainment & Culture03 Oct 2026, 08:49 PM IST

Education Ministry Approves Five Centres of Excellence for Classical Language Studies

India’s Education Ministry has approved five Centres of Excellence to advance the study, research, and preservation of classical languages, marking a significant policy push in the humanities. The initiative is expected to strengthen academic capacity, expand scholarly resources, and deepen institutional support for languages treated as part of India’s civilisational and cultural heritage.

6 min readRead →
Macro Economy & Fiscal Policy03 Oct 2026, 08:08 PM IST

Keventer, Saroj Poddar Groups Launch Rs 400-Crore Real Estate Debt Fund

Keventer Group and Saroj Poddar Group have launched a Rs 400-crore real estate debt fund aimed at financing projects in Delhi-NCR and West Bengal through secured lending. The sponsors have committed Rs 80 crore to the vehicle, which is targeting a gross internal rate of return of 18% to 22%, underscoring continued investor appetite for structured property credit in India.

6 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & Insurance03 Oct 2026, 08:15 AM IST

India’s UPI Fee Shift Could Cement PhonePe and Google Pay’s Lead

India’s new merchant fee regime for UPI transactions above Rs 2,000 is poised to deepen the dominance of PhonePe and Google Pay, with Bernstein estimating the two platforms could together generate about $900 million a year by March 2028. The policy may also accelerate expansion into rural markets and push smaller rivals toward higher-value payments, reshaping competition in the country’s fast-growing digital payments sector.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (03:42 PM IST)

India’s UPI Fee Shift May Cement PhonePe and Google Pay Dominance

India’s new merchant fee regime for high-value UPI transactions could hand a major revenue windfall to the country’s largest payment apps while widening the gap between incumbents and smaller rivals. Bernstein estimates PhonePe and Google Pay could together earn about $900 million annually by March 2028, reinforcing their scale advantage as the market adjusts to the 0.4% charge on merchant payments above Rs 2,000.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (06:54 AM IST)

Bernstein Sees Rs 27,000 Crore Revenue Pool From UPI MDR by FY28

A 40-basis-point merchant discount rate on UPI transactions could generate a revenue pool of about Rs 27,000 crore by FY28, according to Bernstein, underscoring the scale of India’s digital payments ecosystem. The brokerage said issuing banks and UPI apps would capture the largest share, while merchant-side payment apps and acquiring banks would also benefit, even as the levy remains below card fees and excludes many small-ticket payments.

5 min readRead →
Markets, IPOs & WealthJust now (04:08 AM IST)

European Shares Slide as Bond Yields Surge, Squeezing Risk Appetite

European equities opened the final quarter under pressure on Thursday as a fresh climb in global bond yields and lingering inflation concerns prompted investors to trim risk. The STOXX 600 fell about 1%, with banks among the weakest performers, while softer oil prices offered only limited relief to a market still focused on the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (03:26 AM IST)

India’s UPI Fee Shift Could Cement PhonePe and Google Pay Dominance

India’s new merchant fee regime for high-value UPI transactions is set to strengthen the country’s largest payment apps, with Bernstein estimating that PhonePe and Google Pay could together generate about $900 million annually by March 2028. The policy may deepen their lead over smaller rivals, while also nudging payment firms to expand into rural markets and pursue higher-value transactions.

5 min readRead →
India Sports & CricketJust now (06:22 PM IST)

Anish Finishes Seventh as India Ends Campaign with 15 Medals

Anish delivered a composed late surge to finish seventh, shooting four out of five at a decisive stage of the final and closing with 11 hits from 15 shots. The result brought India’s campaign to an end with a total of 15 medals, underlining a strong overall showing even as the final podium push fell short.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (05:39 PM IST)

PB Fintech Slides 50% From Peak as Regulatory Fears Hit Insurance Plays

PB Fintech shares have fallen 50% from their all-time high and slipped below the company’s 2021 IPO price of Rs 980 after a six-day rout triggered by proposed IRDAI curbs on insurance distribution. The selloff has intensified as brokerages including Bernstein and Jefferies cut target prices, warning that earnings momentum could come under pressure if regulatory changes reshape the economics of online insurance selling.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (12:02 AM IST)

Bernstein Sees Rs 27,000 Crore Revenue Pool From UPI MDR by FY28

A 40-basis-point merchant discount rate on UPI transactions could generate a revenue pool of about Rs 27,000 crore by FY28, according to Bernstein, underscoring how India’s payments ecosystem may be monetised without materially disrupting adoption. The brokerage said issuing banks and UPI apps would capture the largest shares, while merchant-side payment apps and acquiring banks would also benefit from the levy, which remains well below typical card fees and would exempt many smaller transactions.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (12:10 AM IST)

India’s UPI Fee Shift May Cement PhonePe, Google Pay Dominance

India’s new merchant fee regime for high-value UPI transactions could hand PhonePe and Google Pay a powerful new revenue stream, with Bernstein estimating annual earnings of about $900 million by March 2028. The policy may deepen the lead of the two dominant payment apps while nudging smaller rivals toward niche, higher-value use cases and broader rural expansion.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (07:40 PM IST)

India’s UPI Fee Shift Could Cement PhonePe and Google Pay’s Market Power

India’s new merchant fee regime for high-value UPI transactions is poised to deepen the dominance of PhonePe and Google Pay, with Bernstein estimating the two platforms could together generate about $900 million annually by March 2028. The 0.4% fee on merchant payments above Rs 2,000 may also accelerate expansion into rural markets while forcing smaller rivals to chase larger-ticket transactions to survive.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (08:15 AM IST)

PB Fintech Sinks 42% in Four Sessions as IRDAI Reform Shock Erases Rs 37,000 Crore; Jefferies and Bernstein Split on Recovery

PB Fintech shares have plunged 42% in four trading sessions, wiping out about Rs 37,000 crore in market value after the insurance regulator proposed reforms aimed at distribution practices and dark patterns. While Jefferies cut its target price, Bernstein maintained an Outperform view and sees as much as 100% upside from current levels, underscoring a sharp divide over the stock’s medium-term outlook.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (06:26 AM IST)

PB Fintech Sinks 42% in Four Sessions as IRDAI Reform Fears Erase Rs 37,000 Crore; Jefferies, Bernstein Still See Deep Upside

PB Fintech, the parent of Policybazaar and Paisabazaar, has lost about Rs 37,000 crore in market value over four trading sessions after the insurance regulator proposed reforms that could reshape distribution economics and curb dark patterns. The selloff has been severe, but brokerages remain divided on the damage: Jefferies has cut its target, while Bernstein has kept an Outperform rating and sees as much as 100% upside from current levels.

5 min readRead →
Banking, Fintech & InsuranceJust now (04:43 AM IST)

India’s UPI Fee Shift Set to Cement PhonePe and Google Pay Dominance

India’s new merchant fee regime for Unified Payments Interface transactions could hand PhonePe and Google Pay a powerful revenue tailwind, with Bernstein estimating annual earnings of about $900 million by March 2028. The policy may deepen the lead of the two market leaders while nudging smaller rivals toward higher-value payments and broader rural expansion.

5 min readRead →
Macro Economy & Fiscal PolicyJust now (03:32 AM IST)

FIIs Unlikely to Return in Force Without New Growth Engines, Bernstein Says

Foreign institutional investor flows into India are likely to stay flat to modestly positive over the next 12 months unless the economy develops fresh growth drivers, according to Bernstein. The assessment suggests that while India remains structurally attractive, global capital is waiting for clearer evidence of earnings acceleration, policy transmission and a broader revival in domestic demand.

4 min readRead →
Macro Economy & Fiscal PolicyJust now (11:43 AM IST)

Bernstein Sees FII Flows Staying Tepid Without New Growth Engines in India

Foreign institutional investor flows into India are likely to remain flat to modestly positive over the next 12 months unless the economy produces fresh growth engines, Bernstein said, underscoring a cautious global stance toward Indian assets. The assessment suggests that while India’s macro story remains structurally intact, elevated valuations and a lack of new earnings catalysts may limit the scale of foreign reallocation.

5 min readRead →

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